Sport Picks
Xelaju vs Coban Imperial Prediction & H2H Stats
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango 
Match Events
42'
42'
Sub
Silva D. In: Lobos N.
Out: Silva D.
46'
46'
Sub
Cardoza E. In: Marquez R.
Out: Cardoza E.
46'
46'
Sub
Calderon R. In: Cardenas S.
Out: Calderon R.
AI Match Summary
Xelaju in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Xelaju lately — more wins on the board than Coban Imperial.
- 30% — that's where the model lands on Xelaju taking it.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xelaju | Coban Imperial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Coban Imperial
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Xelaju
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Coban Imperial
3:1
Sep 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Xelaju
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xelaju Compare
Top Goalscorer Marquez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cardenas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Coban Imperial Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xelaju 50 / 100
Coban Imperial 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xelaju Coban Imperial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xelaju found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).
Coban Imperial let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Xelaju has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Xelaju VS Coban Imperial
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Xelaju
(Home) 27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3 Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2 Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1 Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0 Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3 Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0 Antigua
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0 Coban Imperial
31 Aug
Xelaju
4 : 1 Deportivo Mixco
27 Aug
Xelaju
1 : 1 Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 4
Coban Imperial
(Away) 27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2 Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2 Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0 Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1 Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1 Coban Imperial
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0 Coban Imperial
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2 Coban Imperial
24 Aug
Marquense
2 : 1 Coban Imperial
09 Aug
Municipal
2 : 0 Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
