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Xelaju vs Deportivo Achuapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cardoza E.
26' Event
Quezada Gamez H. E.
31'
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Xelaju in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Xelaju
20%
Draws
29%
Deportivo Achuapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Xelaju have won more games recently than Deportivo Achuapa.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Xelaju taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Deportivo Achuapa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xelaju
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xelaju
4:1
Mar 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Achuapa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Quezada Gamez H. E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cardoza E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 95 / 100
Deportivo Achuapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Deportivo Achuapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportivo Achuapa let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Xelaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Achuapa

(Away)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)