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Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Marquez R.
38'
Garcia L.
45'
Sub
Segura J. In: Ojeda C.
Out: Segura J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Xelaju and Deportivo Mixco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Xelaju
15%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Xelaju haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Xelaju taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 18%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
3:1
Feb 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 40 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Mixco conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Xelaju has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Deportivo Mixco
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Malacateco 13 4 3 6 14:19 15
10 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)