Sport Picks
Xelaju vs Malacateco
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Xelaju and Malacateco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xelaju.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Xelaju come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xelaju | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xelaju Compare
Malacateco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xelaju's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Malacateco conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Xelaju remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Xelaju
(Home)Malacateco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
