Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xelaju vs Municipal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xelaju host Municipal in the Liga Nacional. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Municipal have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Xelaju have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Municipal slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.13, favoring Municipal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xelaju
35%
Draws
37%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Municipal lately — more wins on the board than Xelaju.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Municipal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 20%
Municipal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Municipal
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.64 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Xelaju
2:0
May 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Municipal
1:2
May 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Xelaju
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Municipal
3:1
Jan 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Xelaju
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 31 / 100
Municipal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Xelaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Municipal conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Municipal
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 8

Municipal

(Away)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)