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Xerez CD vs Cabecense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Taoualy C.
85' Event
Taoualy C.

AI Match Summary

Xerez CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
26%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cabecense haven't matched Xerez CD's recent run of results.
  • Xerez CD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Xerez CD have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Cabecense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Cabecense
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Xerez CD
0:2
Sep 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Cabecense vs Xerez CD
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Cabecense
1:0
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Xerez CD
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Taoualy C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cabecense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 95 / 100
Cabecense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Xerez CD's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Xerez CD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)