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Xerez CD vs CD Badajoz

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sanchez J.
57' Event
Hernandez M.
67' Event
Isuskiza V.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 game between Xerez CD and CD Badajoz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
49%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Badajoz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 25%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD CD Badajoz
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 20
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.81 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs CD Badajoz
1:2
Jun 21, 2003 LaLiga2
Xerez CD vs CD Badajoz
5:3
Jan 26, 2003 LaLiga2
CD Badajoz vs Xerez CD
0:1
Jan 27, 2002 LaLiga2
CD Badajoz vs Xerez CD
1:0
Sep 7, 2001 LaLiga2
Xerez CD vs CD Badajoz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Isuskiza V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 13 / 100
CD Badajoz 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xerez CD scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Xerez CD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Badajoz has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS CD Badajoz
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
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CD Badajoz

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla B 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Don Benito 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Betis B 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
4 Tenerife B 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
5 Recreativo Huelva 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 CD Badajoz 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Sanluqueno 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
8 Linares 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
9 Marbella 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 CD Estepona 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Puente Genil 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
12 Atletico Central 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
13 Las Palmas B 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
14 Ciudad de Lucena 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 Antoniano 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Xerez CD 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
17 Mijas Las Lagunas 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
18 Tamaraceite 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)