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Xerez CD vs CD Extremadura

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Chapín, Jerez
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AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Xerez CD and CD Extremadura finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xerez CD
30%
Draws
42%
CD Extremadura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Extremadura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Extremadura come out ahead of Xerez CD on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 17%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD CD Extremadura
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0.82 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs CD Extremadura
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Extremadura vs Xerez CD
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 36 / 100
CD Extremadura 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD CD Extremadura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Extremadura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez CD found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

CD Extremadura has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Xerez CD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS CD Extremadura
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
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CD Extremadura

(Away)
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1
CD Extremadura
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
19 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 1
Betis B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)