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Xerez CD vs Lebrijana

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 Chapín, Jerez
Xerez CD Logo

Xerez CD

2 - 0
FT
Lebrijana Logo

Lebrijana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Xerez CD and Lebrijana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
6%
Lebrijana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xerez CD come out ahead of Lebrijana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Xerez CD a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 20%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Lebrijana
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Lebrijana
2:0
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Xerez CD
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Xerez CD
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Lebrijana
1:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Lebrijana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 85 / 100
Lebrijana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Lebrijana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebrijana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Xerez CD has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Xerez CD scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 8

Lebrijana

(Away)
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0
Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4
Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez Deportivo FC 18 11 4 3 26:11 37
2 Xerez CD 18 10 5 3 23:11 35
3 AD Ceuta 18 7 8 3 26:17 29
4 Los Barrios 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
5 CD Rota 18 6 4 8 15:21 22
6 Antoniano 18 4 9 5 15:20 21
7 Conil 18 3 11 4 19:18 20
8 Cabecense 18 4 7 7 15:23 19
9 Arcos CF 18 4 5 9 10:19 17
10 Lebrijana 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 20 14 3 3 30:18 45
2 Ciudad de Lucena 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
3 Puente Genil 20 9 6 5 28:24 33
4 Cordoba B 20 8 6 6 31:25 30
5 CD Utrera 20 9 3 8 26:26 30
6 Pozoblanco 20 7 6 7 22:23 27
7 Sevilla C 20 7 5 8 17:20 26
8 Inter Sevilla 20 5 7 8 17:25 22
9 Castilleja CF 20 6 3 11 25:27 21
10 Coria C.F. 20 3 6 11 14:28 15
11 La Palma CF 20 2 7 11 14:27 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)