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Xerez CD vs Marbella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gutierrez I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 game between Xerez CD and Marbella finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Xerez CD
30%
Draws
16%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xerez CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xerez CD come out ahead of Marbella on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Xerez CD taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Marbella Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Marbella
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Marbella
1:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Xerez CD vs Marbella
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 77 / 100
Marbella 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Xerez CD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marbella's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Xerez CD scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS Marbella
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
01 Nov
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Xerez CD
29 Oct
Xerez CD
1 : 3
Cadiz
25 Oct
Xerez CD
1 : 0
Marbella
18 Oct
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
10 Oct
Betis B
1 : 1
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

Marbella

(Away)
01 Nov
Marbella
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
25 Oct
Xerez CD
1 : 0
Marbella
18 Oct
Marbella
0 : 0
CD Estepona
11 Oct
CD Badajoz
1 : 0
Marbella
04 Oct
Marbella
0 : 2
Betis B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recreativo Huelva 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
2 Ciudad de Lucena 9 5 3 1 16:9 18
3 Don Benito 9 5 2 2 15:11 17
4 CD Badajoz 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
5 Betis B 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
6 Mijas Las Lagunas 9 3 5 1 17:13 14
7 Sevilla B 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
8 Linares 9 3 4 2 10:10 13
9 Puente Genil 9 3 3 3 9:7 12
10 Xerez CD 9 3 3 3 8:7 12
11 CD Estepona 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
12 Atletico Central 9 4 0 5 12:15 12
13 Sanluqueno 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
14 Tenerife B 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
15 Marbella 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Antoniano 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
17 Tamaraceite 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
18 Las Palmas B 9 1 2 6 4:16 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)