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Xerez CD vs Torremolinos

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ribeiro I.
30' Event
Rodriguez J.
36' Event
Penarroya C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Xerez CD and Torremolinos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torremolinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
32%
Torremolinos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Xerez CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Xerez CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Torremolinos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Torremolinos
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Xerez CD vs Torremolinos
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Torremolinos vs Xerez CD
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Torremolinos
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Torremolinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penarroya C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 50 / 100
Torremolinos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Torremolinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez CD's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Torremolinos conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Xerez CD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS Torremolinos
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
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Torremolinos

(Away)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
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