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Xerez CD vs Yeclano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Chuma

AI Match Summary

Xerez CD in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xerez CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
28%
Yeclano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xerez CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Yeclano haven't matched Xerez CD's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Xerez CD a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Xerez CD have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Yeclano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.94 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Yeclano
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs Xerez CD
1:3
Oct 13, 2021 Copa Federacion
Yeclano vs Xerez CD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Chuma
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Yeclano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 50 / 100
Yeclano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Yeclano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xerez CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez CD went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Xerez CD's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Yeclano conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS Yeclano
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 7

Yeclano

(Away)
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
08 Aug
Yeclano
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2
Yeclano
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1
Almeria B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)