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Xerez Deportivo FC vs Cabecense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Carrion J. M.
55' Event
Oca Contreras A.
80' Event
Charid I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Xerez Deportivo FC and Cabecense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xerez Deportivo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Xerez Deportivo FC
39%
Draws
31%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xerez Deportivo FC come out ahead of Cabecense on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Xerez Deportivo FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 68%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Cabecense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Cabecense
4:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:4
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Xerez Deportivo FC
3:4
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Cabecense
3:0
Sep 17, 2020 Club Friendly
Cabecense vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrion J. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oca Contreras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cabecense Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 41 / 100
Cabecense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Xerez Deportivo FC scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: Cabecense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
03 May
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Xerez CD
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
05 Apr
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xerez CD341910553:2167
2Ciudad de Lucena34199639:2166
3Xerez Deportivo FC341810650:2364
4Pozoblanco34188849:3662
5AD Ceuta B341511847:2756
6Puente Genil341315652:4554
7Inter Sevilla341471338:4049
8CD Utrera341371450:4846
9AD Cartaya341291335:3445
10La Palma CF341181549:5241
11Bollullos348141231:4438
12Conil349101529:4037
13Cordoba B348131337:4337
14Atletico Espeleno341071741:5337
15Coria C.F.34991642:5436
16Sevilla C348111528:3535
17Ayamonte347111632:4732
18Cabecense34772025:6428
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)