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Xerez Deportivo FC vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Udom E.
58'
Udom E.
59' Event
Adri P.

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Xerez Deportivo FC
6%
Draws
90%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Xerez Deportivo FC.
  • Model gives Jaen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 18%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Jaen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Jaen
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Xerez Deportivo FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias D. Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Adri P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siverio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 10 / 100
Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xerez Deportivo FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Jaen conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Xerez Deportivo FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS Jaen
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
03 May
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Xerez CD
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
05 Apr
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)