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Xiamen Egret Island vs Shanxi Longjin

China China

Yi League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ma Chongchong
Own Goal
90'
Wang Weicheng

AI Match Summary

Xiamen Egret Island in this Yi League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xiamen Egret Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Xiamen Egret Island
17%
Draws
13%
Shanxi Longjin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Xiamen Egret Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Xiamen Egret Island have won more games recently than Shanxi Longjin.
  • Xiamen Egret Island are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Xiamen Egret Island Clean Sheet 68%
Shanxi Longjin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xiamen Egret Island Shanxi Longjin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2021 League Two
Shanxi Longjin vs Xiamen Egret Island
1:3
Sep 24, 2021 League Two
Xiamen Egret Island vs Shanxi Longjin
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xiamen Egret Island 77 / 100
Shanxi Longjin 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xiamen Egret Island Shanxi Longjin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xiamen Egret Island scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Shanxi Longjin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Xiamen Egret Island went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xiamen Egret Island VS Shanxi Longjin
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qingdao Hainiu1493227:1330
2Shijiazhuang Gongfu1492323:1429
3Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1475229:1426
4Qingdao West Coast1457219:1122
5Xiamen Egret Island1444611:2016
6Shanxi Longjin1434714:2113
7Shanghai Jiading Huilong141769:1910
8Foshan Nanshi14121111:315