Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028

China China

League Two Haicang Sports Centre Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xiamen Feilu play Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Xiamen Feilu averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Shenzhen 2028 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Xiamen Feilu won 0, Shenzhen 2028 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Xiamen Feilu and 1.13 for Shenzhen 2028. This points to a Shenzhen 2028 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Xiamen Feilu
27%
Draws
37%
Shenzhen 2028
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Shenzhen 2028

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Xiamen Feilu picked up more points recently compared to Shenzhen 2028.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Xiamen Feilu Clean Sheet 21%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xiamen Feilu Shenzhen 2028
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League Two
Xiamen Feilu vs Shenzhen 2028
0:0
Apr 15, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Xiamen Feilu
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xiamen Feilu 37 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xiamen Feilu Shenzhen 2028

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shenzhen 2028 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Xiamen Feilu attacking → ← attacking Shenzhen 2028

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xiamen Feilu scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Shenzhen 2028 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Xiamen Feilu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen 2028 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 48
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
2Shandong Taishan B1592422:1329
3Dalian Kewei1467112:525
4Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1463518:1421
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1538414:1417
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1525814:2711
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281575323:1826
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
5Jiangxi Lushan1473418:1224
6Ganzhou Ruishi1565416:1423
7Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
8Guangdong Mingtu1537515:1716
9Hangzhou Linping1437413:2116
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B153489:1713
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179