Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xinabajul vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Perez Y. Y.
9'
Vasquez E.
39'
Chun M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024/2025 game between Xinabajul and Malacateco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
45%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Malacateco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malacateco a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 24%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Malacateco
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Malacateco
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Xinabajul
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Xinabajul
0:0
Nov 28, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Malacateco
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Malacateco
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 29 / 100
Malacateco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xinabajul found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Malacateco has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Xinabajul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malacateco
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
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Malacateco

(Away)
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)