Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xinabajul vs Xelaju

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tebalan W.
40' Event
Tebalan W.
47' Event
Gonzalez F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
41%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xelaju lately — more wins on the board than Xinabajul.
  • Win probability leans Xelaju's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 19%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Xelaju
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Xelaju
2:2
Feb 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Xinabajul
7:2
Sep 8, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Xinabajul
2:0
Feb 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Xelaju
0:0
Feb 2, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Xinabajul
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aquino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebalan W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 24 / 100
Xelaju 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Xinabajul scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Xelaju let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Xinabajul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Xelaju
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

Xelaju

(Away)
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)