Sport Picks

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Xinabajul vs Zacapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Sat, Mar 8, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xinabajul host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Xinabajul have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Zacapa's 0.36 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Xinabajul have won 2 to Zacapa's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.06, favoring Xinabajul. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
16%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xinabajul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xinabajul come out ahead of Zacapa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 20%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Zacapa
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 6 0
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Zacapa
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Xinabajul
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Zacapa
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Xinabajul
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Zacapa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 32 / 100
Zacapa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xinabajul found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Zacapa conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

Xinabajul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zacapa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xinabajul VS Zacapa
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)