Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
Match Events
7'
7'
Abrayev Q.
16'
16'
Khamidzhonov S.
Assist: Azimov S.
19'
19'
Shodiboev S.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Lok. Tashkent finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Tashkent.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Tashkent
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Xorazm Urganch haven't matched Lok. Tashkent's recent run of results.
- Lok. Tashkent are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 11%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Lok. Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:3
Apr 7, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Xorazm Urganch
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 Pro Liga
Lok. Tashkent vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Aug 21, 2010 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Lok. Tashkent
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Khamidzhonov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Lok. Tashkent Compare
Top Goalscorer Abrayev Q.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nurulloev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xorazm Urganch 18 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xorazm Urganch Lok. Tashkent
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xorazm Urganch's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Lok. Tashkent let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Xorazm Urganch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Xorazm Urganch VS Lok. Tashkent
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
Lok. Tashkent
(Away) 20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
15 Aug
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
