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Xorazm Urganch vs Navbahor Namangan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xorazm Urganch host Navbahor Namangan in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Navbahor Namangan have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while Xorazm Urganch have conceded 1.43 and scored 0.89. Past meetings favor Navbahor Namangan slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.81) back Navbahor Namangan to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Xorazm Urganch
35%
Draws
49%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Navbahor Namangan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Navbahor Namangan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 11%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
5:1
Oct 3, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Xorazm Urganch vs Navbahor Namangan
1:3
May 11, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Mar 25, 2017 Uzbekistan Cup
Navbahor Namangan vs Xorazm Urganch
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 18 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Navbahor Namangan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Xorazm Urganch found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Xorazm Urganch remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xorazm Urganch VS Navbahor Namangan
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xorazm Urganch

(Home)
16 Oct
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
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Navbahor Namangan

(Away)
17 Oct
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)