Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Pakhtakor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
AI Match Summary
Xorazm Urganch host Pakhtakor in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Xorazm Urganch have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Pakhtakor's 1.66 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Pakhtakor slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.69 - 1.56) back Pakhtakor to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Pakhtakor come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pakhtakor here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xorazm Urganch found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Pakhtakor let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Xorazm Urganch remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home)Pakhtakor
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:21 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 43:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:30 | 39 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 38 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24:30 | 33 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 41:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:34 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11:48 | 4 |
