Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
Match Events
30'
30'
Rafael Tavares
40'
40'
Jurakuziev O.
46'
46'
Sub
Rafael Tavares In: Khoshimov U.
Out: Rafael Tavares
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Qizilqum finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qizilqum.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qizilqum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Qizilqum come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Qizilqum taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 13%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Qizilqum |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
1:3
Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Xorazm Urganch
0:0
Aug 18, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Xorazm Urganch
0:3
Aug 5, 2010 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Qizilqum
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafael Tavares
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Qizilqum Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurakuziev O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Paparyga R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xorazm Urganch 19 / 100
Qizilqum 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xorazm Urganch Qizilqum
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Xorazm Urganch scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Qizilqum let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Xorazm Urganch has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Xorazm Urganch VS Qizilqum
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
Qizilqum
(Away) 10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
08 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
5 : 0 Qizilqum
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0 Qizilqum
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
