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Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Dzhuraboev Z.
46'
Sub
Sultonov U. In: Lohan
Out: Sultonov U.
57'
Sub
Urinboev Z. In: Mavlonkulov S.
Out: Urinboev Z.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Sogdiana finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Xorazm Urganch
30%
Draws
54%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sogdiana come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sogdiana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 12%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Sogdiana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
0:0
Jul 16, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Sogdiana
0:2
Jun 19, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Jun 30, 2012 Pro Liga
Sogdiana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 19 / 100
Sogdiana 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Sogdiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sogdiana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Xorazm Urganch stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xorazm Urganch VS Sogdiana
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xorazm Urganch

(Home)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6

Sogdiana

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 23 9 3 11 23:30 30
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 23 7 6 10 19:28 27
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)