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Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Ho Chi Minh 2

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xuan Thien Phu Tho play Ho Chi Minh 2 in the V.League 2. Xuan Thien Phu Tho are favorites here. Recently, Xuan Thien Phu Tho averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Ho Chi Minh 2 averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Xuan Thien Phu Tho won 1, Ho Chi Minh 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Xuan Thien Phu Tho and 1.13 for Ho Chi Minh 2. This points to a Xuan Thien Phu Tho double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
24%
Draws
17%
Ho Chi Minh 2
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Xuan Thien Phu Tho picked up more points recently compared to Ho Chi Minh 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 21%
Ho Chi Minh 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xuan Thien Phu Tho Ho Chi Minh 2
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 V.League 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Ho Chi Minh 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Ramos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bao N. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ho Chi Minh 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva Victor S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tran Minh Vu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xuan Thien Phu Tho 57 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 2 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Ho Chi Minh 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xuan Thien Phu Tho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Xuan Thien Phu Tho & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Xuan Thien Phu Tho attacking → ← attacking Ho Chi Minh 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xuan Thien Phu Tho scored in 88% of their last 24 games.

Ho Chi Minh 2 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 16
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00