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Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
1 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
15%
Draws
39%
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xuan Thien Phu Tho come out ahead of Hong Linh Ha Tinh on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Xuan Thien Phu Tho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Xuan Thien Phu Tho, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 26%
Hong Linh Ha Tinh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xuan Thien Phu Tho Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xuan Thien Phu Tho 38 / 100
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Hong Linh Ha Tinh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Linh Ha Tinh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xuan Thien Phu Tho scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Hong Linh Ha Tinh has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hong Linh Ha Tinh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xuan Thien Phu Tho VS Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

(Home)
10 Oct
Hung Yen
8 : 1
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
20 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
13 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 1
Khanh Hoa
20 Aug
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 2
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Page 1 of 6

Hong Linh Ha Tinh

(Away)
08 Oct
Viettel
1 : 3
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
20 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
13 Sept
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 4
Aurora Saigon United 3
Long An 2
Bac Ninh 3
Khanh Hoa 1
Van Hien 2
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Binh Duong 2
Viettel -
TBD -
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh City 2
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Hanoi FC 1
Da Nang 2
Hai Phong 0
Thep Can Tho 1
Lam Dong 0
Song Lam Nghe An 2
PVF-CAND 4
Hue FC 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
TBD -
Gia Lai 2
Hung Yen 3
1/8-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai -
Bac Ninh -
Van Hien -
Ho Chi Minh -
Binh Duong -
Viettel -
Ho Chi Minh City -
Nam Dinh -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho -
Da Nang -
Thep Can Tho -
Song Lam Nghe An -
PVF-CAND -
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
Hung Yen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -