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XV de Jau vs Jacarei FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jacarei FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
XV de Jau
11%
Draws
9%
Jacarei FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Jacarei FC haven't matched XV de Jau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 20%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau Jacarei FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Jacarei FC
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Jacarei FC
0:1
Jul 30, 2023 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs XV de Jau
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 76 / 100
Jacarei FC 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau Jacarei FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: XV de Jau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

XV de Jau found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Jacarei FC has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Jacarei FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao62405:310
2Nacional SP62314:49
3XV de Jau62135:57
4Jacarei FC61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Catanduva FC63307:412
2Rio Branco SP62229:78
3Penapolense61416:57
4Jabaquara60333:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Barbarense62403:110
2America SP61418:87
3Sao-Carlense62135:67
4Vocem61326:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana641110:613
2Taquaritinga64029:612
3SKA Brasil63127:610
4Independente SP60063:110