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XV de Jau vs Portuguesa Santista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Yohan
90' Event
Henrique D.

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
XV de Jau
20%
Draws
38%
Portuguesa Santista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • XV de Jau haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portuguesa Santista have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 20%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau Portuguesa Santista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Portuguesa Santista
0:2
Mar 7, 2010 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Jau
3:1
Jan 19, 2008 Paulista A2
Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Jau
1:0
Mar 29, 2007 Paulista A2
XV de Jau vs Portuguesa Santista
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 42 / 100
Portuguesa Santista 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau Portuguesa Santista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

XV de Jau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: XV de Jau scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Portuguesa Santista let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Portuguesa Santista
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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Portuguesa Santista

(Away)
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2
Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)