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Yacoub El Mansour vs Berkane Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de Rabat, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Mrabet H. In: Noussir Y.
Out: Mrabet H.
20' Event
Kandouss I.
Own Goal
39'
Chouiar M.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Yacoub El Mansour and Berkane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yacoub El Mansour
30%
Draws
37%
Berkane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Berkane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berkane come out ahead of Yacoub El Mansour on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Yacoub El Mansour Clean Sheet 20%
Berkane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yacoub El Mansour Berkane
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Botola Pro
Yacoub El Mansour vs Berkane
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Botola Pro
Berkane vs Yacoub El Mansour
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yacoub El Mansour Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Berkane Compare

Top Goalscorer Riahi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yacoub El Mansour 36 / 100
Berkane 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yacoub El Mansour Berkane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berkane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yacoub El Mansour's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Berkane has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Yacoub El Mansour remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yacoub El Mansour VS Berkane
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yacoub El Mansour

(Home)
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
05 Jul
FUS Rabat
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
02 Jul
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 2
Difaa El Jadidi
28 Jun
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
Page 1 of 6

Berkane

(Away)
27 Sept
Moghreb Tetouan
0 : 0
Berkane
05 Jul
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 3
Berkane
02 Jul
Berkane
2 : 0
Wydad Athletic
28 Jun
FUS Rabat
2 : 1
Berkane
25 Jun
Berkane
2 : 2
FAR Rabat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)