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Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammedia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yacoub El Mansour in this Botola 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yacoub El Mansour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Yacoub El Mansour
15%
Draws
20%
Chabab Mohammedia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yacoub El Mansour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yacoub El Mansour lately — more wins on the board than Chabab Mohammedia.
  • Model gives Yacoub El Mansour a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Yacoub El Mansour Clean Sheet 68%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yacoub El Mansour Chabab Mohammedia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Botola 2
Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammedia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yacoub El Mansour 86 / 100
Chabab Mohammedia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yacoub El Mansour Chabab Mohammedia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yacoub El Mansour Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yacoub El Mansour scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Chabab Mohammedia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yacoub El Mansour remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yacoub El Mansour VS Chabab Mohammedia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yacoub El Mansour

(Home)
04 Oct
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
05 Jul
FUS Rabat
0 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
02 Jul
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 2
Difaa El Jadidi
Page 1 of 6

Chabab Mohammedia

(Away)
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ittihad Khemisset 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 USM Oujda 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Wydad Fes 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Yacoub El Mansour 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
5 Olympique de Safi 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Jeunesse Massira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Olympique Khouribga 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
8 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Dcheira 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Chabab Benguerir 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
11 Stade Marocain 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 US Boujaad 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
13 KAC Kenitra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
14 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
15 Chabab Mohammedia 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
16 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)