Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Olympique de Rabat
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yacoub El Mansour play Kawkab Marrakech in the Botola Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yacoub El Mansour averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Kawkab Marrakech averaged 1 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Yacoub El Mansour won 2, Kawkab Marrakech won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Yacoub El Mansour and 1.19 for Kawkab Marrakech. This points to a Kawkab Marrakech double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yacoub El Mansour
30%
Draws
37%
Kawkab Marrakech
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kawkab Marrakech

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Yacoub El Mansour picked up more points recently compared to Kawkab Marrakech.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Yacoub El Mansour Clean Sheet 20%
Kawkab Marrakech Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yacoub El Mansour Kawkab Marrakech
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Botola Pro
Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Botola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech vs Yacoub El Mansour
2:1
Jul 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Kawkab Marrakech vs Yacoub El Mansour
4:1
May 18, 2025 Botola 2
Kawkab Marrakech vs Yacoub El Mansour
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Botola 2
Yacoub El Mansour vs Kawkab Marrakech
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yacoub El Mansour Compare

Top Goalscorer Balouk M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kawkab Marrakech Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yacoub El Mansour 34 / 100
Kawkab Marrakech 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yacoub El Mansour Kawkab Marrakech

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kawkab Marrakech or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yacoub El Mansour attacking → ← attacking Kawkab Marrakech

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yacoub El Mansour scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Kawkab Marrakech let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Yacoub El Mansour went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kawkab Marrakech lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
15Dcheira30791429:4030
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222