Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thiha Dipa, Thanlyin
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Soe M. M.
22' Event
Moe P.
50' Event
Michel M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Yadanarbon
15%
Draws
53%
Dagon Port
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon Port

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagon Port haven't matched Yadanarbon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dagon Port a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Port Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Dagon Port
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 National League
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 MNL League Cup
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Dagon Port
3:3
Sep 13, 2024 National League
Dagon Port vs Yadanarbon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moe P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dagon Port Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantona A. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 18 / 100
Dagon Port 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Dagon Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Port Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Dagon Port has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Yadanarbon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Dagon Port
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Yadanarbon

(Home)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
24 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 1
Yadanarbon
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
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Dagon Port

(Away)
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
26 Feb
Dagon Port
5 : 2
Yarmanya United
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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