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Yadanarbon vs Shan United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Moe Thet Wai
32' Event
Moe Thet Wai
89'
Soe M. M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Yadanarbon and Shan United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yadanarbon
20%
Draws
47%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shan United come out ahead of Yadanarbon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shan United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shan United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Shan United
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.83 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Shan United vs Yadanarbon
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 National League
Shan United vs Yadanarbon
2:0
Sep 20, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
1:5
Dec 4, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Shan United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Moe Thet Wai
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 22 / 100
Shan United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Yadanarbon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Yadanarbon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shan United let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Shan United
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yadanarbon

(Home)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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Shan United

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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