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Yague vs Berceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Tamayo S.
44' Event
Berges A.
65' Event
Valldosera I.

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Yague
15%
Draws
57%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Berceo have won more games recently than Yague.
  • Model gives Berceo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yague Clean Sheet 10%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yague Berceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Berceo
1:2
Apr 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Yague
2:0
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Berceo
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Berceo
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Yague
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yague Compare

Top Goalscorer Berges A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamayo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valldosera I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yague 10 / 100
Berceo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yague Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yague's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Berceo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yague stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yague VS Berceo
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yague

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 6

Berceo

(Away)
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)