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Yague vs River Ebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Fernandez Rodriguez D.

AI Match Summary

Yague in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Yague
15%
Draws
34%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yague at 1.07 per game, River Ebro at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans Yague's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yague have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Yague Clean Sheet 17%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yague River Ebro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs River Ebro
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Yague
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs River Ebro
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Yague
0:1
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs River Ebro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yague Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

River Ebro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yague 84 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yague River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Ebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Yague scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: River Ebro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yague VS River Ebro
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Yague

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 6

River Ebro

(Away)
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2
Pradejon
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)