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Yague vs Villegas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ortiz M.
36' Event
Kone Mariko O. N.
81' Event
Fernandez M. A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Yague and Villegas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yague
35%
Draws
32%
Villegas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yague come out ahead of Villegas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Yague Clean Sheet 14%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yague Villegas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Villegas
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Yague
2:1
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Villegas
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Yague
1:0
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Yague
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yague Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kone Mariko O. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yague 31 / 100
Villegas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yague Villegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villegas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Yague scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Villegas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yague VS Villegas
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yague

(Home)
09 May
Yague
4 : 4
CD Calahorra
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
26 Apr
Comillas CF
1 : 1
Yague
19 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
12 Apr
Vianes
1 : 0
Yague
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Villegas

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)