Sport Picks
Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Yambol 1915 and Spartak Plovdiv finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yambol 1915.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yambol 1915
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Spartak Plovdiv have managed 2.19 goals a game lately — Yambol 1915 are scoring more at 2.3.
- Yambol 1915 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 12%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yambol 1915 | Spartak Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.3 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
3:1
May 30, 2026 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
0:3
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:5
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yambol 1915 65 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yambol 1915 Spartak Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yambol 1915 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yambol 1915 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Solid form: Yambol 1915 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Yambol 1915 VS Spartak Plovdiv
2.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yambol 1915
(Home) 26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7 Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5 Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
30 May
Yambol 1915
4 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
Spartak Plovdiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
15 Aug
Zagorets
1 : 4 Spartak Plovdiv
30 May
Yambol 1915
4 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
17 May
Nesebar
6 : 1 Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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