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Stadium Background

Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

China China

League One 2025 Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Brown F.
Assist: Ondong-Mba C.
30'
Ding Quancheng
34'
Sub
Yao Diran In: Jiang Zhengjie
Out: Yao Diran

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025 game between Yanbian Longding and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yanbian Longding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yanbian Longding
6%
Draws
4%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yanbian Longding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao haven't matched Yanbian Longding's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Yanbian Longding taking it.
  • Regular League One 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 68%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yanbian Longding Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Yanbian Longding
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Yanbian Longding
3:2
Jun 1, 2024 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:4
Oct 15, 2023 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yanbian Longding Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yanbian Longding 95 / 100
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yanbian Longding Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Yanbian Longding found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Yanbian Longding has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yanbian Longding VS Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013