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Yangju vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Lee Hyung-Kyung
81' Event
Lee Hyung-Kyung

AI Match Summary

The K3 League 2023 game between Yangju and Ulsan Citizen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Yangju
6%
Draws
90%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ulsan Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Yangju Clean Sheet 23%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangju Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 K3 League
Yangju vs Ulsan Citizen
0:2
Apr 29, 2023 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangju
4:2
Oct 22, 2022 K3 League
Yangju vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 9, 2022 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangju
0:1
Aug 22, 2021 K3 League
Yangju vs Ulsan Citizen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangju Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Hyung-Kyung
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangju 10 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangju Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangju's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ulsan Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ulsan Citizen
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangju

(Home)
04 Nov
Paju Frontier
4 : 0
Yangju
28 Oct
Yangju
1 : 2
Daejeon Korail
24 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yangju
17 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 0
Yangju
10 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
4 : 3
Yangju
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Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
15 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 2
Seoul E-Land
10 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
04 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Chuncheon
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hwaseong28179242:2160
2Mokpo28158548:2653
3Gimhae281310542:2649
4Ulsan Citizen28138737:2947
5Daejeon Korail281161134:3239
6Siheung Citizen28109937:3739
7Paju Frontier281151232:2738
8Chuncheon28911825:2638
9Busan Kyotong28971234:3634
10Gyeongju KHNP288101028:3234
11Pocheon28712926:3333
12Gangneung28881227:3532
13Yangpyeong28761528:4327
14Changwon28761523:3927
15Yangju28471729:5019
Relegation - K3 League 2023 (Relegation)