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Yangon Royals vs Mahar United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yangon Royals host Mahar United in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Yangon Royals at 0.71 goals for, 0.57 against; Mahar United at 1.69 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Yangon Royals have won 0 to Mahar United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.56) point toward Yangon Royals. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yangon Royals
35%
Draws
32%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahar United come out ahead of Yangon Royals on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Yangon Royals Clean Sheet 15%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon Royals Mahar United
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 1 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 0 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.57 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yangon Royals vs Mahar United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon Royals 30 / 100
Mahar United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon Royals Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon Royals Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahar United has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Yangon Royals went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yangon Royals scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

Scoring Trends

Yangon Royals VS Mahar United
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon Royals

(Home)
11 Oct
Yangon United
1 : 2
Yangon Royals
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
10 May
Yangon Royals
1 : 1
Mahar United
Page 1 of 2

Mahar United

(Away)
09 Oct
Mahar United
1 : 1
Chinland
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Shan United 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Yadanarbon 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Yangon United 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
5 Thitsar Arman 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
6 Yangon Royals 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
8 Ayeyawady 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
9 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
10 Hantharwady United 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
12 Myawady 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)