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Yangon United vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sithu K.
37' Event
Sithu K.
42' Event
Htan David

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Yangon United and Dagon finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Yangon United
15%
Draws
34%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Yangon United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Yangon United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%
Dagon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Dagon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 27 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 3 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Yangon United
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Yangon United
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sithu K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Htan David
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dagon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 95 / 100
Dagon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangon United scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Yangon United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dagon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Dagon
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
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Dagon

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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