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Yangpyeong vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kang S.

AI Match Summary

Yangpyeong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yangpyeong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Yangpyeong
17%
Draws
13%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Yangpyeong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changwon lately — more wins on the board than Yangpyeong.
  • Win probability leans Yangpyeong's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Changwon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:5
Apr 21, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Changwon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 77 / 100
Changwon 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Changwon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Changwon has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yangpyeong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Changwon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429