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Yangpyeong vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kang S.

AI Match Summary

Yangpyeong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yangpyeong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Yangpyeong
30%
Draws
47%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Changwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changwon lately — more wins on the board than Yangpyeong.
  • Win probability leans Yangpyeong's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Changwon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:5
Apr 21, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Changwon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 40 / 100
Changwon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Changwon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Changwon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Changwon
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangpyeong

(Home)
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
26 Jul
Yangpyeong
2 : 4
Busan Kyotong
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
Page 1 of 6

Changwon

(Away)
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 21 11 5 5 31:16 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
6 Gangneung 21 7 6 8 20:29 27
7 Chuncheon 21 7 5 9 37:34 26
8 Gyeongju KHNP 20 6 8 6 29:28 26
9 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
10 Ulsan Citizen 21 7 4 10 22:24 25
11 Yeoju Citizen 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)