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Yantra Gabrovo vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Lok. Plovdiv have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Yantra Gabrovo have conceded 1 and scored 1.31. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.69, favoring Yantra Gabrovo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Yantra Gabrovo
15%
Draws
46%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yantra Gabrovo at 1.31 per game, Lok. Plovdiv at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Yantra Gabrovo Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yantra Gabrovo Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yantra Gabrovo 36 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yantra Gabrovo Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yantra Gabrovo scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Lok. Plovdiv let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Yantra Gabrovo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Lok. Plovdiv lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yantra Gabrovo VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yantra Gabrovo

(Home)
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -