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Yaracuyanos vs Barquisimeto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Yaracuyanos have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Barquisimeto's 1.55 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Yaracuyanos have won 2 to Barquisimeto's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.75) back Yaracuyanos to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Yaracuyanos
15%
Draws
42%
Barquisimeto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yaracuyanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Barquisimeto haven't matched Yaracuyanos's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yaracuyanos a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Yaracuyanos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yaracuyanos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 12%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yaracuyanos Barquisimeto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Yaracuyanos
0:0
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Barquisimeto vs Yaracuyanos
0:4
May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Yaracuyanos vs Barquisimeto
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Yaracuyanos
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Yaracuyanos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yaracuyanos 83 / 100
Barquisimeto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yaracuyanos Barquisimeto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yaracuyanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yaracuyanos found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barquisimeto has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Yaracuyanos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yaracuyanos VS Barquisimeto
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yaracuyanos

(Home)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
04 Oct
Zamora 2
1 : 4
Yaracuyanos
30 Sept
Yaracuyanos
3 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello B
26 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 3
Yaracuyanos
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

Barquisimeto

(Away)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams