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Yarmouk vs Burgan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1 2025/2026
Yarmouk Logo

Yarmouk

3 - 1
FT
Burgan Logo

Burgan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Yarmouk and Burgan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yarmouk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Yarmouk
30%
Draws
33%
Burgan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yarmouk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Yarmouk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yarmouk's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yarmouk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Yarmouk Clean Sheet 20%
Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yarmouk Burgan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
3:1
Jan 22, 2026 Division 1
Burgan vs Yarmouk
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
1:2
Apr 2, 2024 Division 1
Burgan vs Yarmouk
1:3
Feb 14, 2024 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yarmouk 36 / 100
Burgan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yarmouk Burgan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yarmouk scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Burgan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Yarmouk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yarmouk VS Burgan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yarmouk

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al Jazira
2 : 0
Yarmouk
14 Aug
Yarmouk
1 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Yarmouk
0 : 0
Khaitan
Page 1 of 6

Burgan

(Away)
08 Oct
Burgan
0 : 1
Al Jazira
20 Aug
Sporty FC
2 : 4
Burgan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Khaitan
0 : 0
Burgan
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sulaibikhat 21 13 5 3 38:16 44
2 Al Sahel 21 13 5 3 35:16 44
3 Yarmouk 21 13 4 4 42:20 43
4 Al Jazira 21 11 5 5 41:24 38
5 Khaitan 21 7 6 8 23:20 27
6 Burgan 21 5 8 8 26:30 23
7 Al Shamiya FC 21 3 1 17 19:63 10
8 Sporty FC 21 2 0 19 14:49 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)