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Yate vs Evesham

England England

Southern League Premier South
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yate host Evesham in the Southern League Premier South. Little to choose between these two on current form. Evesham have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Yate have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor Yate slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Yate. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Yate
20%
Draws
40%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Evesham haven't matched Yate's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Yate's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Yate Clean Sheet 19%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yate Evesham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Evesham
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Evesham
3:0
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Yate
0:1
Feb 28, 2009 Southern Premier League
Yate vs Evesham
0:1
Sep 20, 2008 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Yate
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yate 42 / 100
Evesham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yate Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yate found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Evesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Yate has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yate VS Evesham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yate

(Home)
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3
Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0
Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6

Evesham

(Away)
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2
Evesham
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)