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Yate vs Farnham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Ogo O.

AI Match Summary

Farnham in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yate
40%
Draws
29%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Farnham have won more games recently than Yate.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Yate Clean Sheet 17%
Farnham Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yate Farnham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Farnham vs Yate
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Farnham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yate 31 / 100
Farnham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yate Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yate scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Farnham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Yate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yate VS Farnham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yate

(Home)
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1
Yate
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1
Barry Town
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Yate
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
01 Aug
Farnham
1 : 0
Eastleigh
28 Jul
Farnham
1 : 1
Yeovil
25 Jul
Rochdale
2 : 2
Farnham
21 Jul
Farnham
2 : 1
Wycombe
04 Jul
Ashford Town
4 : 0
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)