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Yate vs Wimborne

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Burchall A.
76' Event
Monks A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Yate and Wimborne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Yate
30%
Draws
23%
Wimborne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Yate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yate's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Yate Clean Sheet 68%
Wimborne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yate Wimborne
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Wimborne
1:1
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Yate
4:1
Mar 8, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Yate
0:5
Aug 17, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Wimborne
0:0
Apr 17, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Yate
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Monks A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wimborne Compare

Top Goalscorer Burchall A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yate 50 / 100
Wimborne 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yate Wimborne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wimborne let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Yate scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yate remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yate VS Wimborne
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yate

(Home)
08 Aug
Yate
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1
Yate
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1
Barry Town
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Yate
Page 1 of 6

Wimborne

(Away)
08 Aug
Frome Town
2 : 0
Wimborne
25 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 1
Maidenhead
18 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 3
Salisbury
25 Apr
Wimborne
3 : 3
Bracknell Town
18 Apr
Sholing
2 : 2
Wimborne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)