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Yaypan vs Aral

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ibrohimxonov A.
11' Event
Musaev R.
(Penalty)
13' Event
Kozlov E.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Yaypan and Aral finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Yaypan
20%
Draws
57%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Yaypan haven't matched Aral's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Aral taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Yaypan Clean Sheet 15%
Aral Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yaypan Aral
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 6 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.15 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Yaypan vs Aral
2:5
May 6, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Yaypan
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yaypan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrohimxonov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turgunov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zhumaev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yaypan 10 / 100
Aral 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yaypan Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yaypan scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Aral let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Yaypan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yaypan VS Aral
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yaypan

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
25 Aug
Jayxun
3 : 1
Yaypan
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 4

Aral

(Away)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)