Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Arys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zhanbyrbay A.
Assist: Imanali M.
29' Event
Mansurov B.
Assist: Begaly E.
46' Event
Zhilin A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Yelimay Semey 2 and Arys finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
15%
Draws
85%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arys come out ahead of Yelimay Semey 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arys a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Arys Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Arys
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.08 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Arys
2:3
Jul 3, 2026 First League
Arys vs Yelimay Semey 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhilin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sovetkazy N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arys Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhanbyrbay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansurov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
Arys 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Yelimay Semey 2's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Away concern: Arys has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Arys
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Arys

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)